Spectral Decomposition Engine · Patent-pending

We read the signals
hiding inside markets.

Cotes runs cross-stream phase coherence on any price feed, at any timescale — one asset-agnostic engine we call the Quantum Resonance Detector (QRD). Our first product, a Telegram bot for prediction markets, is live now: high-conviction UP/DOWN signals every 15 minutes, auto-scored against settlement.

Live now·15-min cadence·Auto-scored vs. settlement
Cotes — Follow the Signal: live prediction-market signals, auto-scored every 15 minutesCotes — Follow the Signal: a high-conviction UP signal resolving YESCotes — Follow the Signal: a high-conviction DOWN signal resolving NO
The first product — shipping now

A Telegram bot that calls up or down, every 15 minutes.

The wedge is narrow on purpose: prove the engine in the open, on markets that settle cleanly, with a record anyone can check. The underlying and the contract go in; a high-conviction UP/DOWN signal comes out — and every call is auto-scored against the actual settlement. It works on any up/down prediction market.

Conviction compounds through the window

High-conviction win rate, minute by minute

50%60%70%80%90%100%T0T3T6T9T12T1462.6%100%

Not a one-shot call at T0. As the 15-minute contest resolves, the model re-reads it every interval and conviction rises — we steward you through the whole window. OOS, n=3,748 per minute.

Latest model · out-of-sample validation
90.6%
high-conviction win rate (OOS)
73.3%
overall win rate (OOS)
0.009
calibration error (ECE)
1,305
spectral features / model
Request access to the bot

Out-of-sample validation on 3,748 contests / 55,788 samples (latest model). Backtested results, not a guarantee of future performance. Cotes AI is experimental technology and not investment advice. See the dedicated bot site for the live, auditable record.

01

Dual-feed ingestion

The underlying spot feed and the prediction-market contract, read together in real time.

02

QRD spectral analysis

FFT-based phase-coherence features fused across multiple timeframes.

03

Signal to Telegram

A high-conviction UP/DOWN call lands in your chat, then auto-scores at settlement.

00 · The Foundation

One engine. A universe of surfaces across finance and trading.

Everything Cotes ships sits on a single base: the Spectral Decomposition Engine (QRD). Cross-stream phase coherence on any price feed, at any timescale. Asset-agnostic, and strongest on continuous, perpetual data. Patent-pending — five provisional filings.

Spectral Decomposition Engine

QRD

We treat the market as intermingled waveforms, not candles — measuring power, phase, coherence, and entropy to expose structure even when price looks normal. The engine is the moat; the products are how it reaches the world.

Any feed
asset-agnostic
Any timescale
1m → daily
Continuous data
strongest signal
Patent-pending
5 provisionals
01 · What the engine produces

Directional Signals

Probability and conviction on the next move — not a chart pattern, a measured edge.

Regime / State Detection

A market-making regime detector that names the environment you're actually operating in.

Cross-Asset Coherence

Watch an underlying and its derivative move together — e.g. BTC vs. its contract.

Execution Intelligence

Exit control and book / liquidity management built on the same spectral state.

02 · Product surfaces — how capabilities get packaged

Telegram Signal Bot

Live · Wedge

Directional signals to subscribers — the live proof of the edge.

Spectral Studio

Live

Multi-asset analytics — equities, crypto, prediction markets, single or simultaneous.

Regime Detector

Roadmap

A standalone state / regime tool for desks that want the environment read.

Signal / Alpha Feed

Roadmap

The raw signal as a consumable data feed for systematic consumers.

API / SDK

Roadmap

Developer access to spectral features for teams building their own surfaces.

Execution Toolkit

Roadmap

Exit and book management packaged as a module you can drop in.

03 · Who consumes it
B2C

Retail & Prosumer

Direct subscription — the bot, and Spectral Studio.

B2B2C

Platforms & Infra

Embed / distribute via brokerage and market-data partners.

B2B

Funds & Desks

License the signal as an alpha feed; they execute their own capital.

B2B

Market Makers

Regime detection and microstructure tooling.

Proof venues — in situ

We demonstrate the edge live, then feed the channels — never the other way around.

Telegram bot — prediction marketsLive

Signals posted publicly and scored against settlement. The edge demonstrated in the open.

Collective2Planned

Crypto / equities track record, third-party audited — proof that travels beyond our own logs.

The founders

Built by the people who invented the method — and shipped the companies.

SLSteve Lacy

Steve Lacy

Co-founder & CEO

Steve has spent decades building new market domains at the intersection of data, science, and engineering — leading global engineering, patented product design, and technology transformation across biomedical engineering, signal processing, oil & gas informatics, and precision instrumentation. Today he's the father of Spectral Trading™ — bringing advanced hedge-fund technology to retail traders.

MGMichael Gauthier

Michael Gauthier

Co-founder & CTO

Previously co-founded Joist and served as its CTO — the contractor-software company he built and took through to acquisition by EverCommerce, where he went on to serve as SVP of Technology. Later an engineering manager at Coinbase. M.Sc. in Computer Science (AI), University of Manitoba. Michael owns how Cotes ships and scales.

Early access

The beacon is on. Come see what the engine sees.

The Telegram Spectral Bot is live now in early access. Get on the list, or reach out about the platform, data, and partnerships.